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An Econometric Approach to Assess the Impact of Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) on Real Estate Price Inflation in the Eurozone

Published in Economics (Volume 11, Issue 1)
Received: 2 February 2022    Accepted: 25 February 2022    Published: 9 March 2022
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Abstract

Contemporary economists argue that negative interest rate as an unconventional monetary policy helps stimulate economic growth. The European Central Bank (ECB) entered Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) territory in June 2014, when it lowered its deposit rates to below zero levels, making it the first major central bank to adopt such policy. In contrast, NIRP can have negative effects on certain economic sectors, such as the property and housing. This paper highlights the effects of negative policy rates on the real estate price inflation inside the Eurozone. The relationship between house price index, negative policy rates, government deficit, unemployment rate, and nominal unit labor cost is addressed and analyzed. Two main hypotheses were adopted i.e., to determine the direct relationship between the Deposit Interest Rate and the House Price Index, and the indirect relationship between the Deposit Interest Rate and the House Price. Furthermore, an econometric model is utilized to sort out the impact of NIRP on the real-estate price inflation in the Eurozone. The outcome of the model shows a strong relationship between negative policy rates and house price index, with government deficit, unemployment rate, and nominal unit labor cost acting as confounding variables.

Published in Economics (Volume 11, Issue 1)
DOI 10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17
Page(s) 49-68
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

NIRP, Real Estate Sector, Price Inflation, Eurozone, Econometric Approach

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    Bassam Hamdar, Yaman Skheita, Mohammad Bassam Hamdar. (2022). An Econometric Approach to Assess the Impact of Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) on Real Estate Price Inflation in the Eurozone. Economics, 11(1), 49-68. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17

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    Bassam Hamdar; Yaman Skheita; Mohammad Bassam Hamdar. An Econometric Approach to Assess the Impact of Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) on Real Estate Price Inflation in the Eurozone. Economics. 2022, 11(1), 49-68. doi: 10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17

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    AMA Style

    Bassam Hamdar, Yaman Skheita, Mohammad Bassam Hamdar. An Econometric Approach to Assess the Impact of Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) on Real Estate Price Inflation in the Eurozone. Economics. 2022;11(1):49-68. doi: 10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17

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  • @article{10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17,
      author = {Bassam Hamdar and Yaman Skheita and Mohammad Bassam Hamdar},
      title = {An Econometric Approach to Assess the Impact of Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) on Real Estate Price Inflation in the Eurozone},
      journal = {Economics},
      volume = {11},
      number = {1},
      pages = {49-68},
      doi = {10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.eco.20221101.17},
      abstract = {Contemporary economists argue that negative interest rate as an unconventional monetary policy helps stimulate economic growth. The European Central Bank (ECB) entered Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) territory in June 2014, when it lowered its deposit rates to below zero levels, making it the first major central bank to adopt such policy. In contrast, NIRP can have negative effects on certain economic sectors, such as the property and housing. This paper highlights the effects of negative policy rates on the real estate price inflation inside the Eurozone. The relationship between house price index, negative policy rates, government deficit, unemployment rate, and nominal unit labor cost is addressed and analyzed. Two main hypotheses were adopted i.e., to determine the direct relationship between the Deposit Interest Rate and the House Price Index, and the indirect relationship between the Deposit Interest Rate and the House Price. Furthermore, an econometric model is utilized to sort out the impact of NIRP on the real-estate price inflation in the Eurozone. The outcome of the model shows a strong relationship between negative policy rates and house price index, with government deficit, unemployment rate, and nominal unit labor cost acting as confounding variables.},
     year = {2022}
    }
    

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    T1  - An Econometric Approach to Assess the Impact of Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) on Real Estate Price Inflation in the Eurozone
    AU  - Bassam Hamdar
    AU  - Yaman Skheita
    AU  - Mohammad Bassam Hamdar
    Y1  - 2022/03/09
    PY  - 2022
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17
    DO  - 10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17
    T2  - Economics
    JF  - Economics
    JO  - Economics
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    EP  - 68
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2376-6603
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20221101.17
    AB  - Contemporary economists argue that negative interest rate as an unconventional monetary policy helps stimulate economic growth. The European Central Bank (ECB) entered Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) territory in June 2014, when it lowered its deposit rates to below zero levels, making it the first major central bank to adopt such policy. In contrast, NIRP can have negative effects on certain economic sectors, such as the property and housing. This paper highlights the effects of negative policy rates on the real estate price inflation inside the Eurozone. The relationship between house price index, negative policy rates, government deficit, unemployment rate, and nominal unit labor cost is addressed and analyzed. Two main hypotheses were adopted i.e., to determine the direct relationship between the Deposit Interest Rate and the House Price Index, and the indirect relationship between the Deposit Interest Rate and the House Price. Furthermore, an econometric model is utilized to sort out the impact of NIRP on the real-estate price inflation in the Eurozone. The outcome of the model shows a strong relationship between negative policy rates and house price index, with government deficit, unemployment rate, and nominal unit labor cost acting as confounding variables.
    VL  - 11
    IS  - 1
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Department of Economics and Finance, Faculty of Business Administration, Al Maaref University, Beirut, Lebanon

  • Faculty of Business and Economics, MBA program, American University of Science and Technology, Beirut, Lebanon

  • Suliman S. Olayan School of Business, Research Assistant, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon

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